Buying
| Newer Posts | Older Posts |
 |
 |
I Would Love To Sell My Home, But Where Would I Go? |
|
 I don't have a universally applicable answer to this question... but it's a question and sentiment I hear from many these days... I Would Love To Sell My Home, But Where Would I Go? Why wouldn't a homeowner want to sell? Home prices are higher than ever, buyers are entering into bidding wars to try to secure a contract, buyers are waiving inspection and/or appraisal contingencies, and on and on... It is, truly, a great time to sell your home! But... ...presumably you still need a place to live. If you're selling and then will have to buy a home, you'll be right over on the opposite side of the table -- paying a higher price than ever, entering into bidding wars, waiving inspection and/or appraisal contingencies -- all to try to secure a contract on a house to buy. As such, many of my recent conversations with folks who want to sell but need to buy is all about what they would buy. We are often much more confident that we'll be able to sell your house than we are that we will be able to find a house for you to buy. So, if you're excited about selling your home and buying a new one -- great! Let's meet soon to talk about selling your home -- but even more importantly, devising a strategy for buying your next home! | |
 |
 |
|
|
Nearly 500 Buyers Secured Contracts On Homes In First Four Months of 2021 |
|
 As shown above, for three of the past five years, around 430 - 440 buyers signed contracts to buy homes between January and April. Two years ago, in 2019, there was a bit more contract activity than normal with 466 buyers signing contracts to buy homes. But this year -- in 20201 -- we set new records! Nearly 500 (499) buyers (and sellers) signed contracts to buy (and sell) homes between January and April 2021. You might ask -- how is this possible -- I heard inventory levels are super low!? It actually works the other way around. It is not remarkable or mysterious that this many buyers secured contracts to buy homes despite low inventory levels... The inventory levels are so low because so many buyers secured contracts to buy homes! Buckle up - this seems bound to be a fast paced year in the local real estate market! | |
|
|
|
|
Inventory Levels (# Of Houses For Sale) Hits New Low In Harrisonburg, Rockingham County |
|
 Never have there been fewer homes for sale in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County! Indeed, there are now fewer than 100 homes on the market in all of the City and County. We have never seen that few homes on the market at the end of the month in our area. As you can imagine, this means that buyers have very, very, very few choices for what they might buy at any given time. Certainly, plenty of homes are coming on the market, but they are almost all going under contract VERY quickly, leaving inventory numbers very low. It's at this time of year that we would typically expect inventory numbers to start rising -- but not in 2021! If you're hoping to buy a home in the next few months, you should...
It's a crazy time out there! | |
|
|
|
|
Monthly Housing Costs Remain Level Despite Rising Prices |
|
 The median sales price in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County has increased 17% since 2018 -- rising from $211,750 up to $248,700. Yet, despite buyers paying higher sales prices for homes -- the monthly mortgage payment associated with that rising purchase price has barely risen at all. If a buyer financed 80% of $211,750 back in 2018 they would have had a mortgage payment of around $1,056. If a buyer finances 80% of $247,700 today, they are likely to have a mortgage payment of around $1,061. This has, of course, been possible because mortgage interest rates have generally declined over the past few years while home sales prices were rising. So, the good news is that even if you are paying a higher price for a house today then you would have over the past few years you likely will not see a corresponding comparative increase in the monthly housing cost associated with that higher purchase price.
This won’t necessarily last forever as interest rates will at some point start to drift upwards… or even if interest rates stay where they are now, if prices continue to climb over the next few years the corresponding monthly housing costs will start to increase as well. So everybody should just buy a house now, right? Easier said than done - as a result of a tremendous amount of competition in the market. Perhaps these steady monthly housing costs due to lower mortgage interest rates are what have drastically increased the amount of buyer demand in the market? | |
|
|
|
|
Strategies For Securing A Contract WITH A Home Inspection Contingency |
|
 Some would-be home buyers are, reasonably, not comfortable entering into a contract to purchase a home without an inspection contingency. But...in a competitive market where there are often multiple offers, it is harder to compete as a buyer if one or several of the competing offers does not include an inspection contingency. Of note, we won't really know if competing offers do or do not have inspection contingencies, but when there are multiple competing offers in the current market, it seems that there will often be at least one without an inspection contingency. So, how can a buyer who desires an inspection contingency compete in such an environment? Here are a few ideas... 1. SHORTEN THE TIMELINE Proactively get on a home inspector's schedule so that you can include a shorter timeline in your offer for the inspection contingency to be resolved. 2. REMOVE YOUR OPTION TO TERMINATE The standard home inspection contingency gives you the option to either request repairs or terminate the contract after completing the inspection. Give the seller a bit more peace of mind that you won't just terminate the contract even if the inspection goes reasonably well by removing that second option from your inspection contingency. 3. SACRIFICE YOUR DEPOSIT Consider offering to give the contract deposit to the seller if you cannot work your way through the inspection contingency. This will show that you are committed to making the deal work and successfully getting through the inspection contingency. 4. RAISE THE STAKES If you are including an escalation clause to make your offer $1K above any other offers -- consider raising that threshold, If your escalation clause takes your offer to $276K with an inspection contingency compared to another offer at $275K without an inspection -- the seller will probably choose the offer that is $1K lower without an inspection contingency. But if your escalation clause made your offer $5K higher than other offers, the seller might decide to accept your $280K offer with an inspection contingency instead of the $275K offer without. In the end, it can be a challenging time to secure a contract on a house regardless of the contingencies you want to include -- but including an inspection contingency can make it much more challenging to be successful. If you definitely want that inspection contingency in place, consider any or all of the strategies above to increase your odds of securing a contract to buy a house. | |
|
|
|
|
How Far Above The Asking Price Are You Willing To Go? |
|
 In some long forgotten distance past era I might have asked a buyer if they thought they were willing to] pay the asking price for a house that was recently listed for sale. Now, the question is a bit different. It is more often a question of how far above the asking price you are willing to go when you make an offer. When you are competing with so many other home buyers who are also planning to make an offer it quickly becomes a question of which buyer is willing to pay the highest price for a particular property. Sometimes that top price is guided by past sales prices but more often than not in the current market buyers are deciding that they are willing to pay more than other recent buyers have paid for similar properties. Escalation clauses are being used in many if not most offers these days to allow a buyer to offer one price but commit to increasing their offer to exceed the offering price from other buyers. It is okay to get excited about a list price of a new listing but keep in mind that these days you probably won't be paying that price, you will be paying some amount above that price. Thus, start thinking early about how far above the asking price you are willing to go. | |
|
|
|
|
Buying vs Building When Hit With Low Inventory AND High Building Costs |
|
 Typically, the tension between buying vs building is one of: 1. Goals 2. Money 3. Timing If you build, you can get the house you want, but you'll pay more for it and it will take a lot of time and attention. 1. Goals = Win 2. Money = Lose 3. Timing = Lose If you buy an existing home, you won't get exactly what you want, but you will pay less for the house and the process will not be a drain on your time. 1. Goals = Lose 2. Money = Win 3. Timing = Win Don't let my oversimplification of this issue fool you -- this is something that buyers can get stuck debating for months, or even years, often while looking at resale homes to try to convince themselves to buy instead building. AND -- two current market conditions are making it an even more complicated decision...
If you are stuck in this quagmire, I'd be happy to meet with you to talk through some of the pros and cons and try to help you come to a decision you'll be pleased with in the short and long term. | |
|
|
|
|
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rates Drop Below Three Percent Again |
|
 Mortgage interest rates started out at 2.65% this January and kept on rising -- all the way up to 3.18% on April 1st. But, then, they started declining again. Interest rates are now averaging at 2.97% for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage. That is well below where we were...
Today's home buyers are certainly happy to be seeing interest rates declining again, as it helps to offset the rapidly increasing prices that they find themselves paying for houses in this quickly moving and highly competitive market. | |
|
|
|
|
Finding Gray Areas In Inspection and Appraisal Contingencies |
|
 It's a crazy market right now. There are definitely many more buyers than sellers in most segments of our local housing market. As such, buyers are having to make difficult decisions about what contingencies to include in their offers. The two prime examples are the INSPECTION and APPRAISAL contingencies. INSPECTION...
APPRAISAL...
But maybe there can be a gray area between having and not having these contingencies in your offer? INSPECTION... Perhaps your offer could be contingent on a home inspection, but...
APPRAISAL... Perhaps your offer of $300K could be contingent on an appraisal, but...
These are some basic examples of how to aim for that gray area between overtly contingent and not at all contingent. If you are buying in this market, have these conversations earlier than later to know what levels of contingencies you are comfortable having in your offer to buy any particular property. | |
|
|
|
|
Should You Waive An Inspection Contingency? |
|
 Many buyers in many price ranges are finding it difficult to compete against SOOO many other buyers making offers on a house. They are left asking themselves how to make their offer stand out amidst multiple other competitive offers. As a buyer in this crazy market... Should You Wave An Inspection Contingency? As you might expect, it depends. Here are a variety of perspectives to consider... NO. Don't waive the inspection contingency. There could be serious issues with the house -- a failing foundation, mold in the crawlspace, a leaky roof, broken roof trusses, unsafe electrical wiring, and more! An inspection can help root out most issues with a property to give you a full and thorough understanding of the condition of the property you are purchasing. YES. Waive the inspection contingency. You'll end up spending money on your home over the first few years for maintenance or upgrades anyhow, and even if there are some surprises, you can just lump them into that cost of homeownership. YES. Waive the inspection contingency. The house is only __ years sold. What could possibly be wrong with it at this point? YES. Waive the inspection contingency. How else will I actually secure a contract on a house in such a competitive market!? In the end, I suppose it depends both on the house and you... The House: How old is it? Has it been well maintained? How old are the major systems of the house? Were you able to view the basement or crawlspace during a showing? Were there any red flags? You: Are you relatively handy with home repairs or are you overwhelmed by even the slightest need for improvements? Are you comfortable with risk? How badly do you want to buy a house. I am still recommending that my buyer clients include an inspection contingency in their offers but I am being clear about the downside of doing that as it relates to competing with other offers -- and some of my buyer clients are deciding to waive the inspection contingency after all. | |
|
|
|
|
Tips For Would Be Townhouse Buyers In A SUPER Competitive Market |
|
 Townhouses are selling QUICKLY in and around Harrisonburg. It is not uncommon for reasonably priced townhouses to have 5 to 10 offers within 48 hours of being listed for sale.
I suppose one critical aspect that I did not list above would be to hire a buyer's agent to represent you in finding, pursuing and purchasing your townhome. I'd suggest you select someone who is highly responsive, professional and knowledgeable about the market. Happy townhouse shopping! | |
|
|
|
|
Some Would Be Home Buyers Are Deciding NOT To Buy Given The CRAZY Housing Market |
|
 Many buyers are feeling a bit overwhelmed by the prospect of trying to buy in the current CRAZY housing market. They find themselves asking...
If you're trying to buy a house right now and you are having some (or all) of these thoughts -- you are not alone. There are many reasons to persevere and to keep on pursuing that goal of buying a house -- and most buyers do seem to be doing that -- though there are also some buyers who are throwing in the towel. Here's how that might look...
It is times like these that I am thankful for all of the counseling classes I took while I was completing my graduate degree from JMU. So, if you think you want to buy, but are are nervous wreck because of the hectic housing market -- feel free to reach out. I'm happy to meet with you to chat about the process and the market. We can call it a home buying meeting or a counseling session -- whichever makes you feel more comfortable. ;-) | |
|
|
|
|
Ryan Homes May Be Starting To Help Some Housing Inventory Issues In Rockingham County |
|
 Ryan Homes, a regional builder currently building homes in 15 different states including Virginia now has two communities underway in Rockingham County and likely will be bringing more on board in the future. SOUTH PEAK is a community of single level, three bedroom (1343 - 1527 SF) duplexes in McGaheysville with current pricing seeming to be mostly between $275K and $350K. While it appears that this will be a community of 72 duplex, thus far, 35 homes have sold, 2 are under contract and one is listed for sale, at least per the MLS. SHADY CREEK is a community of three and four bedroom (1296 - 1903 SF) single family homes (so far, though I believe attached dwellings are to come) in Grottoes with current pricing seeming to be mostly between $270K and $325K. Thus far, 17 homes are under contract and 4 are listed for sale, at least per the MLS. We are definitely having some inventory issues in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County -- with more buyers wanting to buy than there are sellers willing to sell. New home construction at scale can help to address this unmet buyer demand. Thus far, these communities by Ryan Homes are only hitting two segments of our local market but I believe we will see more communities to come that will likely create inventory in other areas and price ranges in our local market. | |
|
|
|
|
Obsessing Over Real Estate Is SO Repetitive These Days |
|
 One of my out of town buyer clients recently lamented the fact that he often finds himself doomscrolling on Zillow...
...as he described it, he kept going back to look for new listings and kept seeing the same listing, or saw listings that had gone under contract within hours or days. It's a tough time to be a buyer right now -- especially an out of town buyer who can only view properties virtually. Thus, yes, many buyers finding themselves endlessly scrolling through the bad news of both:
So, how does one stop doomscrolling on Zillow? Here's some advice for how to stop doomscrolling, though it was unrelated to real estate, so I reinterpreted it a bit. :-)
OK - this post started in jest, then turned more serious, and by the end, who knows... Yes, it is a tough time to be a buyer right now whether that manifests itself in doomscrolling on Zillow or otherwise. Be prepared to be patient in waiting for new listings to hit the market, go see them immediately if they might work for you, and be ready to make an offer very quickly. | |
|
|
|
|
You Can Buy A New Single Family Home Under $300K, Or Even Under $250K |
|
 With home prices rising so much over the past few years if you just took a cursory look at the market you might think your only option for a new home under $250K is a townhouse. That's not actually true. In the past year, (20) new single family (detached) homes sold under $250K in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County for less than $250K. Hard to believe isn't it? See them all here. If we expanded that to homes under $300K, we'll find 36 sales! Not interested in what sold over an entire year? Curious about what is currently on the market? There are 40 new homes under $300K that are currently on the market and under contract and 7 new homes currently for sale under $300K. Many of the new homes under $250K are currently found in Brentwood subdivision where a new section just opened up. Many of the new homes between $250K and $300K are in Shady Creek, in Grottoes, where Ryan Homes just started building homes. Now, it should also be noted that some buyers might look at the new homes available under $250K or under $300K and say...
...all of which are valid conclusions -- but just because some buyers won't choose to buy these new homes under $250K or under $300K based on their style, size or location that doesn't mean that they aren't being built -- or that it is not possible to build them. Also, circling back to the beginning -- it is certainly true that you can spend over $250K on a new townhouse -- with the two current obvious examples being Congers Creek and Crescent Ridge. | |
|
|
|
|
No, The Sellers Probably Will Not Wait For You |
|
 I cannot overemphasize the importance of buyers seeing a new listing on the first day (or possibly the second) that a house hits the market for sale. Clear time in your schedule. Take off work. Rearrange childcare. Whatever it takes. Many popular, well prepared, well priced, well marketed new listings are going under contract within days and not weeks or months, often with multiple offers. If the seller already has multiple offers after 48 hours on the market...
So -- given that you likely won't be able to convince the seller to wait to accept an offer until you see it a few days after everybody else -- it would seem that you need to see the house on the first or second day it is on the market! Plan accordingly! | |
|
|
|
|
The Harrisonburg Area Real Estate Market Is As Strong As Ever Two Months Into 2021! |
|
 Happy Thursday morning to you! It's been a busy week on my end, what with St. Patrick's Day yesterday, and my daughter's 13th birthday the day before (Happy Birthday Emily!) so forgive me for the slight delay in getting the news to you that... The Harrisonburg Area Real Estate Market Is As Strong As Ever Two Months Into 2021! Before I dive into the data below, a few quick links...
Now, on to the data...  As shown above, with St. Patrick's Day green numbers for ya, you'll note that...
So -- more home sales, at higher prices, selling more quickly! Sounds like a good time to be a seller and a bit less exciting of a time to be a buyer! What might develop as we finish out March?  You might notice that the 77 home sales seen in February 2021 was higher than last February (63) but was not the strongest recent month of February home sales. There were 81 home sales back in February 2018. Looking ahead to March, will we see more than 110 home sales close? It seems quite possible! Here's the data stacked up a bit differently...  As shown above, the January + February sales pace during 2021 of 182 home sales is the fastest start we've seen in the past several years. This is a good indication (though not a guarantee) that a relatively strong year of home sales lies ahead of us. You've seen a version of this graph below, but it surprises me again every time I see it...  The orange line (above) is tracking the number of home sales per year -- measured each month. Throughout 2019 and into the beginning of 2020 this was steadily increasing, from just below 1300 to nearly 1400. Then, Covid hit -- and within a few months the annual pace of home sales had dropped back down to 1300 sales per year. That's the downward dip shown above. Then, as we made it into the summer and fall (and winter) of 2020, the pace of home sales picked up incredible momentum, and accelerated beyond where we might have expected it to have been otherwise -- as shown with the dashed red line. All the while, the median sales price just kept on climbing, up to its current level of $247,700 as compared to $222,150 a year ago. So, Covid dealt us two surprises -- a rapid slow down and then a fast and furious rebound!  As noted previously, sales prices are on the rise. The median sales price of all detached homes (not duplexes, townhouses or condos) sold in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County (via the HRAR MLS) rose 12% in 2020 -- from $240,000 up to $269,000. If you bought a home in the past year, you likely paid 5% to 15% more than you would have a year prior. Not as fun for you as a buyer -- though the seller on the other end of your purchase transaction likely thoroughly enjoyed that increase! Looking ahead, again...  While we have seen a significant increase in the annual pace of contracts being signed (1364/year up to 1548/year) the number of contracts signed in February did actually drop off a bit from last year. Admittedly, the January 2021 contracts helped keep the Jan/Feb numbers higher this year than last, but this February did have a bit slower pace of contract signing than I expected. Maybe this smaller number of contracts has something to do with inventory levels??  A year-ish ago I thought it was quite something that we had broken through the 200 mark -- and all of a sudden we were in the 190's as far as the number of homes for sale in all of Harrisonburg and Rockingham County. But now -- we might break through the 100 mark?? A month ago there were 107 homes for sale -- now 106. Please, let's keep it to triple digits -- let's not get down to only 95 or 97 homes for sale!? One of the reasons buyers haven't minded (too terribly) that they were paying higher prices for homes over the past year was because mortgage interest rates were soooooo low...  But now, yes, mortgage interest rates are starting to rise a bit. It doesn't seem likely that they will rise dramatically through 2021, but the lows of being below 2.75% might be (??) behind us for good. OK -- I'll wrap it up there for now. A bit less than a month from now I'll send you another update on where we are a full quarter of the way through the year. My how time flies! Until then... Sellers - Even though the market is hot, you still need to prepare your home well, price it appropriately based on historical sales data and market it thoroughly and professionally. Buyers - Get prequalified for a mortgage, start stalking new listings, go see them on the first day they hit the market, and get ready to compete in a multiple offer situation. Seller / Buyers - If you need to (or want to) sell in order to buy, this will require a bit more strategery :-) than normal. It can be done, but we need a solid plan in place from the start. | |
|
|
|
|
All I Want Is A Four Bedroom, Two Bathroom, 2000 SF House Built In The Past 50 Years Just Outside Harrisonburg For Less Than $500K!?! |
|
 It doesn't sound like too big of an ask, right? Those are some pretty broad search terms...
But... as many would-be buyers are discovering... there are very few options on the market if you are looking for this type of housing. In fact, today, only one such option... 2021 Russell Drive (feels like it is in the City but is really in the County) Interestingly, PLENTY of such homes sold in the past year. In the past (365) days there have been (63) homes that have sold with the criteria listed above. So, if you're looking to buy this type of house...
| |
|
|
|
|
New Listings Will, In Theory, Start to Pop Soon |
|
 The market is moving QUICKLY -- homes are often going under contract in a matter of days instead of weeks -- so it is essential that you know about new listings immediately when they hit the market. Most of my clients use NewListingsInHarrisonburg.com to keep track of new properties coming on the market in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County. You can quickly and easily scroll through the most recent residential listings in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County, view the pertinent details, all of the photographs of the home, an area map, and then quickly and easily share that new listing with a friend, your spouse, your Realtor, etc. You can also sign up to receive an email alert every time there is a new listing....  Check it out, at NewListingsInHarrisonburg.com. | |
|
|
|
|
Low Inventory Levels AND Lots Of Listings |
|
 It's an interesting conundrum. Inventory levels are really (really!) low right now, but there are plenty of new listings that will come on the market this month and next month and nearly every month this year. So, how and why does this happen? Well, if there aren't many listings... ...and then a bunch of houses are listed for sale... ...but there are plenty of buyers in the market so that those new listings all go under contract quickly... ...we'll be left with... not many listings. The key factor keeping inventory levels so low right now are an abundant number of buyers in the market -- or trying to get into the market -- to buy a home. So long as that supply of buyers stayed steady and strong, we are likely to continue to see low inventory levels. So, if you are a buyer and are feeling glum about the very few choices you have today... ...be encouraged -- plenty of houses will be listed for sale in the next month or so... ...but maybe (sorry!) also be discouraged -- you will likely be competing with quite a few other buyers for each new listing. | |
|
|
| Newer Posts | Older Posts |
Scott Rogers
Funkhouser Real
Estate Group
540-578-0102
scott@funkhousergroup.com
Licensed in the
Commonwealth of Virginia
Home Search
Housing Market Report
Harrisonburg Townhouses
Walk Through This Home
Investment Properties
Harrisonburg Foreclosures
Property Transfers
New Listings
