Where Might Mortgage Interest Rates Go From Here?


Where Might Mortgage Interest Rates Go From Here?
By Scott Rogers • October 3, 2022
30 year fixed mortgage interest rates were around 3% a year ago... and now they are up to 6.7%. Ahhhh! Some home buyers today, taking out mortgages at today's rates, are wondering whether it is likely that they will be able to refinance their mortgage anytime soon to get a mortgage rate lower than 6.7%. It's very difficult to know whether that would be likely... but a lot of that would have to do with what historical norm we may or may not gravitate back towards within the next few years. Are mortgage interest rates going to settle back down to 3%? That seems extraordinarily unlikely. Might they drop back down to the average rate over the past 10 years, of 3.8%? That seems somewhat possible, but still not necessarily likely. Might mortgage interest rates drop down to the average rate over the past 20 years, which was 4.7%? That seems quite possible, which would result in a 2% drop from today's 6.7% to the average over the past 20 years of 4.7%. Or, if you want to be even more conservative, we could look at the average mortgage rate over the past 30 years... which was 5.7%, still a full percentage point below the current rates. Another way to look at this is to note that mortgage interest rates were above the current 6.7% rate between 1992 and 2001... and below the current 6.7% rate between 2001 and 2021. Are we headed back towards mortgage interest rates we saw in the 90's? Or the early 2000's? As you might have gathered, I have no actual answers here other than to point to this historical data as a greater context for current mortgage interest rates. :-) Receive Updates by Email Recent Articles: Is There A Price You WOULD Pay For This House? There Are Plenty Of Types Of Houses That Exist That Just Are Not Available To Purchase Home Sales By Price Range In The City Of Harrisonburg Are You Compromising On Aspects Of Your Next Home That You Can Or Cannot Change Later? How Much Slower Are The Winter Months In Our Local Housing Market? Rockingham County and New Home Sales Drive Surge in Area Housing Market Find The Balance Between Optimistic And Realistic Home Pricing Room Size Is Difficult To Understand Solely From Real Estate Photos How Much Would You Value Not Having To Prepare Your Home For Showings? One Out Of Four Homes Is Taking Longer Than A Month To Sell
Have any questions? Contact Scott Rogers at 540-578-0102 or scott@funkhousergroup.com
Based on information from the Harrisonburg-Rockingham Association of REALTORS® or its MLS, for the period Jan 1, 2000 through Nov 25, 2024 (unless otherwise noted).
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