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Home Buyers In Some Price Ranges Are Likely Competing With Would Be Buyers From A Year Ago |
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Let's focus in on one particular segment of the home buying public... ...those relocating to the Harrisonburg area for employment. Plenty of folks relocated to our area in 2022 for a job and plenty are doing so in 2023. A year ago, in summer 2022, inventory levels were extremely low. Some or perhaps many of those buyers relocating to our area for work were not able to find a home to buy given those low inventory levels. What did they do as a result? They rented a home for a year to pursue buying a home from Harrisonburg now that they are living here. So now, those relocating to Harrisonburg this year for work are not only competing with other would be home buyers also relocating here for work this year but ALSO those would be home buyers that relocate here for work a year ago and have been renting ever since that time. And, perhaps this dynamic has been happening for a few years now, building up an ever larger critical mass of buyers competing for housing. Let's translate it into fictional numbers... 2020 100 would-be buyers relocate to Harrisonburg for work. 100 homes are available for purchase. 100 would-be buyers buy a home. Yay! 2021 100 would-be buyers relocate to Harrisonburg for work. 90 homes are listed for sale and 100 buyers fight over them. 90 buyers buy, 10 would-be buyers rent. Yay-ish 2022 100 would-be buyers relocate to Harrisonburg for work. 10 would-be buyers from 2021 still want to buy a home. 80 homes are listed for sale and 110 buyers fight over them. 80 buyers buy, 30 would-be buyers rent. 2023 100 would-be buyers relocate to Harrisonburg for work. 30 would-be buyers from 2021 and 2022 still want to buy a home. 70 homes are listed for sale and 130 buyers fight over them. 70 buyers buy, 60 would-be buyers rent. This one won't be pleasant... 2024 100 would-be buyers relocate to Harrisonburg for work. 60 would-be buyers from 2021-2023 still want to buy a home. 70 homes are listed for sale and 160 buyers fight over them. 70 buyers buy, 90 would-be buyers rent. I think you get the picture. If buyers keep relocating to the area for work (they will) but inventory levels (sellers willing to sell) continue to remain low -- only so many of those relocating buyers will be able to buy a home. Then, the next year's relocating buyers will be competing with an even larger pool of would-be buyers the following year. So, if you're relocating to the Harrisonburg area for work, great, welcome! If it feels like the competition for homes is rather fierce, you are not wrong... and it seems to be a problem a few years in the making. Recent Articles:
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Scott Rogers
Funkhouser Real
Estate Group
540-578-0102
scott@funkhousergroup.com
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Commonwealth of Virginia
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