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Reviewing My Predictions From Last January For The 2023 Real Estate Market |
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Well... my predictions for last year's local housing market weren't exactly spot on. :-) Let's take a look. Above you'll see actual versus predicted number of home sales in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County within the context of the past few years... [1] We saw a decline in home sales between 2021 and 2022 -- and I was predicting another decline in 2023. [2] I predicted a 7% decline in annual home sales. [3] We ended up seeing a 23% decline in annual home sales! So, yes, the number of homes selling in our area did indeed decline -- but much further than I had predicted. And how about sales prices... Again, the realities of the 2023 real estate market didn't quite match my predictions... [1] We saw an 11% increase in the median sales price in 2022. [2] I predicted a smaller (5%) increase in the median sales price for 2023. [3] We ended up seeing a 10% increase in the median sales price last year. So... the market slowed down more than I thought it would... and median sales prices rose much more than I thought they would. But don't worry... soon I'll put my prediction failures behind me and will make some new predictions for 2024. :-) Recent Articles:
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Scott Rogers
Funkhouser Real
Estate Group
540-578-0102
scott@funkhousergroup.com
Licensed in the
Commonwealth of Virginia
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